Friday, June 21, 2013

…WARS AND RUMORS OF PEACE…


Amidst wars, revolutions, and repressions, amidst acts and fears of terror, and other terrible expressions of a surge of human misery around the world, out of Washington, DC, comes a ray of blinding light: President Obama’s breathtakingly daring proposal of a dramatic reduction of the nuclear weapons--- by a whole one-third!--- in the arsenals of the United States and Russia…

First, the good news. Yes, I have been saying it for over two decades, and I am saying it again today. Russia’s demise as the other superpower has been grossly exaggerated. And here now is an adequate reminder of this fact. President Obama has made his sweeping arms control proposal not to the Chinese, allegedly the other superpower, not to the Hindustani nations, not to the nuclear-empowered members of the European Union, not to the North Koreans, and not even to the friendly Israelis. He has made it to the Russians, in the old tradition of superpower arms control pas de deux. Let the nuclear demons of war be reduced by a third to under a thousand on each side! And the earth shook, only nobody has taken this event for an earthquake, because the world is too busy shaking with earthquakes of far greater relevance to humanity, earthquakes not related to superpower might, but to superpower impotence…

So, let us reduce American and Russian nuclear stockpiles, and not just by one third, but by a half. Will that make a difference? Will that have any effect at all on the real-life wars, revolutions, repressions, terrorism, and fears of terrorism anywhere around the world? Indeed, none of the world’s ongoing horrific problems have anything to do with nuclear weapons. On the contrary, we may well argue that the possession of these weapons has actually reduced the threat of global war, and may have already prevented quite a few deadly conflicts from happening.

The truth of the matter is that this latest plastic olive branch of “virtual” peace out of Washington is an exercise in unbelievable hypocrisy. Over the last three decades, most American “peace initiatives” have been, frankly, misbegotten. Nobody in their right mind would suggest that the Taliban-Al Qaeda alternative to erstwhile Soviet influence in Afghanistan brought America anything good, or that Iraq without Saddam Hussein and Libya without Qaddafi are better off today than before the United States had spent the first $billion, liberating them. Nobody in their right mind and propaganda-free would ever suggest that Syria under the secular regime of Assad is a worse evil to the Syrians, the Israelis, and the West, than any feasible alternative that America and the West have to offer.

As for the actual arms control proposal to the Russians, it is an unworkable sham that does not even score any points in the game of perceptions. Without any special deference to the Russians, accepting it would be insanity on their part. During the last two decades, the United States has adopted an unmistakably aggressive anti-Russian stance, seeing Russia’s nuclear weapons as perhaps the only obstacle to America’s domination of the world. The dramatic expansion of NATO, breaking all promises to the Russians, and the preoccupation with ABM in Europe, utterly undermining the core deterrent principle of MAD, plus all other developments in the area of strategic conventional weaponry on the part of the United States, have made the reliance on a substantial nuclear arsenal (far in excess of the suggested reduction limits) a cornerstone of Russia’s defensive posture, and any self-respecting American military expert must admit this plain fact of life…

It is clear by now that the latest American arms control proposal does not hold water, even without us mentioning the glaring omission of all other members of the nuclear club in this “bilateral” arrangement. In the hallowed US-Soviet arms control past, the nuclear arsenals of the British and the French, both being NATO members, were always factored in the bilateral picture... But let us not dwell on this once important subject, as today it is a different, more important set of parameters of the proposed deal that makes all such "small" details superficial and inconsequential.

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