(In
case this may not be as obvious to the reader as I would have liked it to be,
this entry’s title is an allusion to John Lennon’s famous song Imagine.)
A
curious moment, vividly etched in my memory, occurred back in 1984, during a
seminar that I conducted at the UC San Diego, when on the inspiration of the
moment (it was not a part of my prepared notes) I mused most prophetically about
one seemingly impossible what if, inviting the class to imagine what
would happen differently if one day they should wake up to find that the Communist
Soviet Union was gone, and only an un-Communist Russia was left in its place.
Would this new Russia, under the circumstances, all of a sudden become a friend
to the United States, I asked the group, or would it still remain America’s
main adversary? I gave them my own answer that the current cold war status quo
had little to do with ideology, as the Soviet Union was the structural
antithesis to the United States, which in that case constituted the structural thesis of the
modern world order, and this dialectical equation could not be broken by a mere
change of some superficial political slogan.
I
remember expecting to be vociferously challenged on my so politically
incorrect hypothesis, and I confess that I was eagerly looking forward to
an exhilaratingly healthy confrontation. But to my surprise the students must
have been so utterly shocked by my promotion of such an incredible hypothesis
that my challenge had frozen stiff in the air, probably without ever sinking
in.
Too
bad! Had their minds been more open to my revolutionary suggestion, we could
have had a marvelous discussion, with some enormously important implications
for the “inconceivable” future which happened to be only seven short years
away.
Recapping
what I have just said in this entry, my version of Imagine was not
exactly a poetic musing. It was a reasoned assessment of Russia’s lasting
historical role in the world, built on the firm ground of historical
examination, personal experience, and commonsense logic. Geographically,
politically, and mathematically, or as I put it at UCSD, structurally,
Russia had to be globally important, no matter what “political
religion” she had adhered to. It is also important to realize that the United
States was destined to be Russia’s strategic peer and antipode no matter what,
just as Tocqueville prophesied at the time when Russia was still a Tsarist
Empire. This assessment of mine was never professionally challenged and
debated, but was dismissed as an unacceptable rant totally incompatible with
the American strategic vision and posture. Even today when the truth of my
assessment has been supported by fact, Washington’s ideologues and their
beholden politicians, prefer to view Russia’s revitalization under Putin and
Medvedev as an anti-democratic aberration, which is bound to end up on the garbage
dump of history, as soon as the unstoppable march of Western freedom and
democracy resumes across Russia, under the leadership of Western-style Russian
politicians, helped in their effort by the mightiest force in the world: the
American dollar…
Getting
back to my version of Imagine, the truth of my assessment is further
corroborated by two powerful arguments. The first one is that, despite all her
historical twists and turns, Russia’s immutable nature is never affected by the
superficiality of the changing slogans and banners. Winston Churchill not for
nothing called her “a mystery wrapped in a riddle inside an enigma.”
What his famous dictum means is that there are deep layers of substance
underneath the layers of appearances, and an outsider ought not to be fooled by
his own cleverness, seeing something under the slightly scratched surface and
assuming that he has discovered what Russia is all about. For instance,
investigating the standard Western perception of Soviet Russia as a land of “Godless
Commies,” the honest open-minded Westerner could be stunned to find open
functioning churches with magnificent bearded priests shaking fumes of aromatic
incense at the people praying inside, and choirs singing the most beautiful
church hymns one could hear anywhere in a Christian church. What conclusion
would our Westerner make about this unexpected occurrence? Would he be tempted
to conclude that these churches were some kind of “Potemkin villages,”
raised in places accessible to foreigners for their benefit, that is, as a
means of deception? Or would he be more discerning, proposing that
keeping the churches open is a tough concession of Russia’s rulers to her
“religious dissidents,” that is, those Russians who still believe in God and in other Western values? I strongly doubt that Russia’s Third Rome substance,
and the fact that the Russian Church had indeed welcomed upon itself the
purifying persecution, a new baptism by fire, and that, in this case,
the persecuted, and not the persecutors, were running the show, could ever
enter our Westerner’s mind, even by a stroke of genius. It goes without saying
that the shocking proposition that during the Soviet era of Russian history the
Russian people were definitely the most devout Christians anywhere in the world
was always one of the Grundthemen of
my lectures, talks, and professional conversations, invariably taken by my
audiences with incredulous disbelief.
Then
there is another powerful argument when we consider the attitude of the great
Western powers toward Russia prior to the 1917 Revolution. Anyone who has
looked into the causes and the conduct of the Crimean War (1853-1856),
and especially read the monumental work Russia and Europe written by
Nikolai Yakovlevich Danilevsky in the 1860’s, will realize (as long as he keeps
an open mind about this) that Tsarist Russia was as much unacceptable to the
Western world as the USSR would later be. From this realization it will be easy
to make the logical bridge into the post-Soviet world and to agree with my
version of Imagine that there is no difference to the Western world
whether it is a pre-Soviet, Soviet, or post-Soviet Russia, as long as there is
a Russia who will always be more than just a great power, but the
logical antipode to Western capitalist power (now represented by the United
States of America). It is well worth remembering that Tocqueville’s prophesy
was about Russia as such (it was Tsarist Russia in his day, not the red Commies, or the post-Yeltsin Putinistas), and it is still valid, as
always intended by him, in our day and age, and in the ages to come.
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